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Restaurant Research’s Capital Markets Dashboard for June 2024

Restaurant Research’s Capital Markets Dashboard for June 2024

On the one hand, investors are flocking to hard assets which makes sense in a topsy-turvy world. On the other hand, investors are also piling into the stock indexes even though restaurant stock performance would suggest that a full-blown recession is upon us. Fortunately, 1Q restaurant financial performance & comments by some leading retail companies suggest that it may be time for restaurant stocks to come out of the doghouse

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Restaurant Research’s Capital Markets Dashboard for May 2024

Restaurant Research’s Capital Markets Dashboard for May 2024

The S&P 500 declined -4% in April, slightly bested by QSR’s median -3% results but far outperforming FSR’s -8% median decline. Granted, there are a lot of disappointing macro, macro global & national political/military concerns. Further, there is the issue of the Fed’s reluctance to give the working poor a break by cutting rates. However, the companies are not doing so bad and the stock market is about earnings, right??

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RR Dashboard Capital Markets: Restaurant Stocks Had a Mediocre February

RR Dashboard Capital Markets: Restaurant Stocks Had a Mediocre February

Investors were less than wowed with 4Q results for the restaurant chains that continue to trickle-in. However, it is our opinion that 4Q restaurant financial performance (which has mostly been reported at this point) has been pretty good, with all things considered. While industry sales certainly softened in January (mostly attributed to bad weather), a healthy 2024 sales outlook reflects that the consumer demo above $50k continues to show resiliency. While traffic remains negative (the primary concern), margins are recovering. Admittedly, the chains have work remaining to balance the provision of value needed to restore traffic & unit-level profits needed for operators to recover from the post-covid beating inflicted on the restaurant industry.

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Dashboard Capital Markets February 2024

Dashboard Capital Markets February 2024

The market & restaurant stocks struggled in January, reflecting: fears that an unpopular Middle Eastern war is expanding beyond Gaza, dragging U.S. soldiers into harm’s way; Powell’s unwillingness to cut rates in March even as the U.S. economy languishes; and concerns that continued evidence of consumer weakness could harm restaurant traffic & sales.

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Dashboard Capital Markets January 2024

Dashboard Capital Markets January 2024

2023 was a good year for Bitcoin, stocks and a bad year for interest rates, the US$ & the VIX fear gauge. To be fair, seemingly strong 2023 performance really was nothing more than a bounce-back from 2022’s dismal declines. Regarding restaurant performance, the strongest stocks were those resurrected from a seemingly sure covid induced death. Oh, and Wingstop… What does 2024 have in-store for us?

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