A -4.6% y/y ticket decline reflected weakness in bigger ticket nonfoods discretionary items & gas price deflation. In any case, e-commerce (with a 50%+ big ticket mix) is beginning to recover. Notably, online sales of 1 oz. gold bars are typically gone within a few hours of their listing…
Retail
Dollar General Insights from Investor Conference
Dollar General intends to drive sales & traffic with promotions that provide low-income consumers the ability to purchase discretionary items.
Walmart Investor Presentation: Inflation Here to Stay
While general merchandise prices are lower y/y, they remain elevated compared to 2 years ago. As Walmart does not believe general merchandise and food (dry grocery) & consumable prices are ever going to completely disinflate, management suggests the need for a country-wide wage increase rebalancing.
Amazon 2Q23: Delivery Speed Driving Sales
Amazon responded to criticism that the company is chasing speed at the expense of higher costs & that customers do not care about delivery speed. Management maintains that customers seek faster delivery & purchase significantly more items with faster delivery promises.
Ollie’s Bargain 2Q23: Net Sales +13.7%, Adjusted EBITDA +147%
While Ollie’s Bargain reported a tight real estate market, distressed retailers, store closings, and a potential pipeline of bankruptcy filings are opening opportunities for the company to purchase real estate. The company believes its strong balance sheet and high-traffic business model make it a great co-tenant in any center.
Lulu 2Q23: Comps +9% In-Store, +17% in E-Com Channels
Lululemon’s 2Q23 performance speaks volumes about how consumers continue to spend lavishly on products that matter to them.
Best Buy Fiscal 2Q24: Enterprise Comp -6.2%
Best Buy reported that its industry continues to experience lower consumer demand due to the pandemic pull forward of tech purchases & the shift back into services spend outside the home (like travel & entertainment) aggravated by persistent inflation which has impacted spending decisions for a substantial part of the population.
The Gap 2Q23: Net Sales -8% & Operating Expenses -9.6%
The Gap seeks to be careful and mindful of the mixed economic and consumer environment that it must navigate. Management assumes headwinds will continue during 2H23, especially given the resumption of student loan payments.
Big Lots 2Q23: Comps Down -14.6%, Stock Price Up +33%
Big Lots’ core lower-income customer remains under significant pressure & has limited capacity for higher ticket discretionary purchases. However, results outperformed initial guidance, with some sequential comp improvement noted in the quarter. Comp guidance is calling for a low-teens decrease during 3Q & a high-single-digit decline during 4Q.
TJX Companies Fiscal 2QFY24: Strong Quarter with Comps Up +6%
TJX is well positioned as the leading off-price apparel & home fashions retailer well known for value (particularly as it relates to delivering desirable brands). Strong sales & profits during the quarter reflected share gains and provides a good example of how some apparel retailers can succeed in the current economic environment.